Will Donald Trump Win the 2024 Presidential Election? US Presidential Election Betting Odds and Predictions

In the 2024 presidential election, Donald Trump is competing against Vice President Kamala Harris to win in November. Recently tapping Sen. J.D. Vance as his running mate, Trump’s made it clear that he believes having Harris in the White House as commander-in-chief would be a disaster. Trump and his allies are likewise accusing the vice president of lying about her identity and shifting gears when it suits her politically. Harris, conversely, is accusing Trump and Vance of wanting to reverse progress and pull society backward. By all accounts, both the Trump and Harris campaigns are at each other’s throats. Americans should expect this to continue with less than 90 days remaining until November 5. With such close competition, US presidential election betting odds are reflecting the tight race and the uncertainty that lies ahead.

Trump and his allies are likewise accusing the vice president of lying about her identity and shifting gears when it suits her politically. Harris, conversely, is accusing Trump and Vance of wanting to reverse progress and pull society backward. 

By all accounts, both the Trump and Harris campaigns are at each other’s throats. Americans should expect this to continue with less than 90 days remaining until November 5. Will Trump win 2024 or will Harris win 2024? At this rate, only time will tell. 

Historical Context

In 2016, Trump defeated Democratic rival Hillary Clinton by focusing on issues that spoke to the American people. Then-candidate Trump likewise ran as an outsider, successfully branding himself as the anti-establishment candidate. In turn, this led many of Trump’s voters to see him as a representative working and fighting on their behalf. 

The election did not go in the former president’s desired manner back in 2020. However, Trump’s presidency has undoubtedly impacted the American political scene. As pundits ask ‘will Trump win the 2024 election,’ his supporters in the Republican Party are definitely wanting that to happen. Just like in 2016, 2024’s Trump supporters believe the 45th president will defend and advocate for them in the White House.

Current Political Climate, Trump’s Base, and Support Levels

In today’s Republican Party, the base is very pro-Trump. For those on the right who do not support the former president, they’re a minority. Many have left the Republican Party or simply stated they’ll be voting for another contender. Though Trump’s core supporters are sticking by him and making it known that other Republicans ought to follow suit. 

‘Will Donald Trump win the 2024 election’ is the million-dollar question that people across the nation are wondering. At the end of the day, this race is expected to be very close. Public opinion polls show that the former president and Harris are virtually tied with one another in swing states, give or take a few points. 

One key factor that will determine if Trump wins 2024 are support levels. This will require broadening his base beyond hardcore GOP loyalists. Any candidate seeking the White House in a general election needs to get crossover support. For Republicans, this means securing not just conservative votes, but also votes from Independents, moderates and undecideds.  

In this race for the Oval Office, the Harris campaign is working to reach these demographics. The vice president’s camp has repeatedly insisted that Americans of all political leanings are welcome in the movement to get Harris elected. 

Trump will need to convince these voters to back him, rather than the vice president, in order to win the 2024 presidential election. 

Key Issues in the 2024 Election, Legal Challenges, and Controversies

As the country speculates and wonders ‘will Trump win 2024,” it’s impossible not to consider various policy concerns. Economically, a lot of people are struggling to pay the bills and keep a roof over their heads. Immigration and the impacts that certain border policies will have on middle-class jobs also stand out in the minds of voters. 

Trump and Harris are both pitching their solutions to the American people. Each candidate has vowed to be a fighter and defender of the middle class. However, the vice president’s camp is hitting Trump for the various legal challenges he faces. 

Harris, who previously worked as a prosecutor, has repeatedly leaned into this experience, staging during rallies that she “knows Trump’s type.” The Harris campaign is likewise putting out ads that promote this year’s presidential race as a “prosecutor vs. felon” matchup. 

Many Republicans feel that the legal challenges and controversies surrounding the former president are without legitimate standing. They’ve also argued that Joe Biden and the Democrats are intentionally targeting Trump in order to keep him away from the Oval Office. 

Democrats and other Americans opposing Trump, however, are leaning into the talking points from the Harris campaign. They’ve also made clear their goal to keep the former president from ever returning to the White House.   

Campaign Strategies, Voter Turnout, and Demographics

Will Trump win the 2024 election? At the end of the day, this will all boil down to which demographics of voters turn out. In order to boost voter turnout, fundraising efforts and political events are central tools. These energize voters, get them excited, and motivate them to go to the polls, rather than simply staying home and not voting. 

The Trump and Harris campaign, as of late, are holding rallies and public appearances in swing states. Places like Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan, are home to key electoral votes that any presidential candidate needs in order to win the election. 

In November, millions more young people are going to be eligible to vote, even more than in 2016 or 2020. To reach young voters and Americans who aren’t yet decided on who to support, both campaigns have started increasing their presence and activity on social media platforms. In the case of the Harris campaign, she started a TikTok account just last month in the hopes of reaching new voters.

US Presidential Election Betting Odds and Expert Predictions

As the nation ponders and asks “will Trump win 2024,” there are definitely some predictions and expert opinions on the matter. Polling from the New York Times/Sienna currently shows the former president trailing Harris in states like Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. 

Diane Hessan, a Boston market research expert, predicts that in November, Americans will be voting against one candidate, more than actively supporting the other. In other words, at least some people will be voting for Harris due to their dislike for Trump and others will cast ballots for Trump solely because they oppose Harris. 

In the coming weeks and months, Americans of all political persuasions can expect additional polls, predictions, and expert opinions regarding this race. 

What are the key issues shaping the 2024 presidential race between Trump and Harris?

• The 2024 race is heavily influenced by economic concerns, immigration policy, and legal challenges facing Donald Trump. Voters are particularly focused on how each candidate plans to address inflation, job security, and border security. Harris is emphasizing her prosecutorial background to highlight Trump’s legal issues, while Trump is focusing on the economic hardships under the current administration and portraying Harris as part of a failing status quo.

How have Trump and Harris positioned themselves to win over swing states?

• Both campaigns are targeting key swing states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. Trump is emphasizing his past economic successes and law-and-order stance, while Harris is working to rebuild the Democratic coalition by focusing on issues important to young voters, minorities, and suburban women. Their strategies include holding rallies, increasing social media outreach, and tailoring messages to resonate with the specific concerns of voters in these critical states.

How might Trump’s legal challenges impact his 2024 campaign?

• Trump’s legal troubles, including ongoing investigations and court cases, are central to the Harris campaign’s strategy. Harris has framed the election as a battle between a “prosecutor” and a “felon,” attempting to sway undecided voters by questioning Trump’s fitness for office. Meanwhile, Trump’s supporters dismiss these legal issues as politically motivated, reinforcing their belief in his message of fighting against a corrupt establishment.

What role are demographics playing in the 2024 election?

• Demographics are crucial, with both candidates trying to secure support from key groups. Harris is focusing on young voters, minorities, and women, particularly in urban areas and swing states. Trump, on the other hand, is appealing to white working-class voters, older Americans, and rural communities. The ability to mobilize these groups will be critical in determining the outcome of the election.

What are the predictions for voter turnout in the 2024 election?

• Voter turnout is expected to be high, similar to the record levels seen in 2020. Both campaigns are investing heavily in get-out-the-vote efforts, recognizing that mobilizing their respective bases will be crucial. With the addition of millions of young voters who have reached voting age since 2020, both campaigns are also ramping up their presence on platforms like TikTok and Instagram to engage this demographic.

How are Trump’s and Harris’s campaign strategies different?

• Trump’s campaign is focusing on large rallies, direct appeals to his base, and a message of economic revival and national security. He continues to use his platform to challenge the legitimacy of the 2020 election results, rallying his supporters around the idea of restoring America. Harris, by contrast, is running a more traditional campaign, emphasizing her prosecutorial background, focusing on coalition-building among Democrats, and reaching out to a broader range of voters through targeted ads and social media campaigns.

What impact could social media have on the 2024 election?

• Social media is expected to play a significant role in the 2024 election. Harris has launched a TikTok account to connect with younger voters, while Trump continues to leverage his Truth Social platform along with other social media to engage his base. Both campaigns are using these platforms to bypass traditional media, deliver their messages directly to voters, and counter negative coverage.

How have polls shifted since Harris became the Democratic nominee?

• Polls have shown that the race between Trump and Harris is very close, especially in swing states. Harris has managed to consolidate support from key Democratic demographics that had been lukewarm on Biden, such as young voters and minorities. However, Trump remains competitive, particularly among white working-class voters and in rural areas, keeping the race tight.

What are experts saying about the likely outcome of the 2024 election?

• Experts are divided, with many predicting that the election could go either way. The race is expected to be decided by a few key swing states, and voter turnout will be critical. Some analysts suggest that voters will be more motivated by opposition to the other candidate than by strong support for their own, leading to a highly polarized and contentious election.

What are the main controversies surrounding the 2024 election?

• The main controversies include Trump’s legal challenges, accusations of electoral manipulation, and the overall tone of the campaign, which has been marked by aggressive rhetoric from both sides. Harris’s team is focusing on Trump’s legal problems to question his suitability for office, while Trump is accusing Harris and the Democrats of pushing the country toward socialism and undermining traditional American values.

Do you think Donald Trump will win the 2024 presidential election?